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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $266,280 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon96%
Nathalie Arthaud90%
Marine Le Pen85%
Édouard Philippe84%
$266,280 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
85% ▼ 4
Jordan Bardella
14% ▲ 3
Éric Zemmour
48% ▼ 6
Édouard Philippe
84%
David Lisnard
63% ▲ 4
Xavier Bertrand
5%
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
30% ▲ 1
Gabriel Attal
37%
Bruno Retailleau
75% ▼ 2
François Hollande
32% ▲ 3
Raphaël Glucksmann
57% ▼ 1
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%
Marine Tondelier
33%
Fabien Roussel
84% ▲ 3
Olivier Faure
9%
Dominique de Villepin
37%
Ségolène Royal
7%
François Asselineau
14% ▲ 1
Clémentine Autain
4%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
60% ▼ 3
Michel Barnier
2%
Valérie Pécresse
2%
François Bayrou
6%
Élisabeth Borne
1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%
Jean Castex
5%
Gérald Darmanin
6%
Carole Delga
4% ▼ 1
Bernard Cazeneuve
14%
Manuel Bompard
9% ▲ 1
Mathilde Panot
3% ▲ 1
Sarah Knafo
40% ▼ 14
Sébastien Lecornu
9% ▼ 1
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
6%
Nathalie Arthaud
90% ▲ 1
Delphine Batho
3%
Jérôme Guedj
7%
Karim Bouamrane
5%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%
Manuel Valls
4%
Teddy Riner
4%
Matthieu Pigasse
12%
Juan Branco
13% ▲ 1
Philippe de Villiers
8%
Bally Bagayoko
3%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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