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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $402,355 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon96%
Marine Le Pen89%
Nathalie Arthaud86%
Fabien Roussel85%
$402,355 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
81% ▲ 1
Jordan Bardella
11%
Éric Zemmour
71% ▲ 1
Édouard Philippe
75%
David Lisnard
63% ▲ 2
Xavier Bertrand
11% ▼ 1
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
23% ▼ 2
Gabriel Attal
23%
Bruno Retailleau
68% ▲ 2
François Hollande
36%
Raphaël Glucksmann
59% ▲ 3
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
87%
Marine Tondelier
22%
Fabien Roussel
77%
Olivier Faure
5% ▼ 3
Dominique de Villepin
30% ▲ 1
Ségolène Royal
3% ▼ 1
François Asselineau
10% ▲ 1
Clémentine Autain
1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
53% ▲ 1
Michel Barnier
6%
Valérie Pécresse
3%
François Bayrou
4% ▼ 1
Élisabeth Borne
5% ▼ 1
Yaël Braun-Pivet
5%
Jean Castex
4%
Gérald Darmanin
2%
Carole Delga
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
7%
Manuel Bompard
7% ▲ 1
Mathilde Panot
3%
Sarah Knafo
15% ▲ 2
Sébastien Lecornu
5%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7% ▼ 1
Nathalie Arthaud
78% ▼ 1
Delphine Batho
8%
Jérôme Guedj
4%
Karim Bouamrane
3%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
3%
Manuel Valls
4%
Teddy Riner
5%
Matthieu Pigasse
5%
Juan Branco
12% ▼ 1
Philippe de Villiers
3% ▼ 1
Bally Bagayoko
5%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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