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Fed rate cut by...?

Jerome Powell Vol. $3,663,032 73 traders

July 2027 Meeting53%
January 2027 Meeting14%
December 2026 Meeting4%
October 2026 Meeting1%
$3,663,032 Vol. Jerome Powell

Outcomes

13
Chance
January Meeting Resolved
1% ▼ 1
March Meeting Resolved
1%
April Meeting Resolved
1%
June Meeting Resolved
1% ▼ 1
January 2027 Meeting
13% ▼ 32
March 2027 Meeting
28% ▼ 16
July 2027 Meeting
48% ▲ 3
April 2027 Meeting
43% ▼ 2
June 2027 Meeting
43% ▼ 2
July Meeting Resolved
1%
September 2026 Meeting Resolved
1%
October 2026 Meeting
1% ▼ 2
December 2026 Meeting
3% ▼ 3

Recent trades

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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