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Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini Vol. $537,944 50 traders

November 3094%
October 3178%
September 309%
June 300%
$537,944 Vol. Gemini

Outcomes

7
Chance
July 31 Resolved
1%
August 31 Resolved
1%
September 30
8% ▲ 2
September 15 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
October 31
71% ▲ 1
November 30
85% ▲ 5
June 30 Resolved
1%

Recent trades

  • No recent trades

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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