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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

AI Vol. $15,129 50 traders

August 1037%
August 1128%
August 1221%
August 2219%
$15,129 Vol. AI

Outcomes

32
Chance
On or prior to August 1 Resolved
0% ▲ 8
August 2 Resolved
0% ▼ 14
August 3
3% ▼ 19
August 4
9% ▼ 14
August 5
2% ▼ 35
August 6
12% ▼ 10
August 7
16% ▼ 12
August 8
<1% ▼ 4
August 9
<1% ▼ 5
August 10
37% ▲ 7
August 11
28% ▼ 9
August 12
21% ▼ 18
August 13
13% ▼ 17
August 14
<1% ▼ 21
August 15
<1% ▼ 15
August 16
<1% ▼ 10
August 17
<1% ▼ 36
August 18
<1% ▼ 32
August 19
<1% ▼ 27
August 20
<1% ▼ 35
August 21
<1% ▼ 38
August 22
19% ▼ 19
August 23
15% ▼ 23
August 24
15% ▼ 20
August 25
8% ▼ 21
August 26
15% ▼ 23
August 27
4% ▼ 28
August 28
18% ▼ 17
August 29
3% ▼ 25
August 30
<1% ▼ 21
August 31
<1% ▼ 34
No release by August 31
9% ▼ 3

Recent trades

  • No recent trades

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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