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Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Music Vol. $160,909 50 traders

Bad Bunny100%
Drake100%
Harry Styles100%
Ariana Grande100%
$160,909 Vol. Music

Outcomes

28
Chance
A$AP Rocky
10%
Ariana Grande Resolved
100% ▲ 2
Bad Bunny Resolved
100% ▲ 1
Billie Eilish
22% ▼ 1
Doja Cat
14%
Drake Resolved
100%
Ed Sheeran
13%
Future
12%
Harry Styles Resolved
100% ▲ 6
Jack Harlow
17% ▼ 3
Kendrick Lamar
70%
Lil Baby
49% ▲ 1
Luke Combs
24% ▼ 33
Morgan Wallen
54%
Olivia Rodrigo Resolved
100% ▲ 34
Peso Pluma
51%
Playboi Carti
38% ▼ 16
Post Malone
43% ▲ 2
Rihanna
46%
Sabrina Carpenter
53% ▲ 1
SZA
50%
The Weeknd
34% ▲ 2
Travis Scott
28%
Tyler, The Creator
21%
Zach Bryan
31% ▼ 2
Kanye West
3%
Frank Ocean
16%
Mariah Carey
89%

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

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