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Fomc
predictions & odds
Fed Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
1%
Yes
No
3 more
$200.3M
Vol.
16 sept
fomc
Potential payout
$25
→
$2500
4,006 trading
Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
2%
Yes
No
3 more
$3.0M
Vol.
29 oct
Fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$2500
60 trading
Fed rate hike by...?
April Meeting
1%
Yes
No
June Meeting
1%
Yes
No
3 more
$3.8M
Vol.
29 oct
Fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
76 trading
What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?
Inflation 40+ times
20%
Yes
No
Inflation 20+ times
75%
Yes
No
20 more
$91.0K
Vol.
17 sept
Fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$111
50 trading
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
3%
Yes
No
3 more
$886.5K
Vol.
10 dec
Fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$2500
50 trading
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