Explore popular predictions &amp; real-time odds

$1279.2MVol. 7 nov United States

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 21% Yes No

Gavin Newsom 8% Yes No

$706.1MVol. 7 nov President

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump 2% Yes No

J.D. Vance 47% Yes No

$705.3MVol. 7 nov United States

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 88% Yes No

Belete Molla 1% Yes No

31 more

$286.0MVol. 1 jun Ethiopia

F1 Drivers' Champion

Lando Norris 3% Yes No

Oscar Piastri 1% Yes No

$203.0MVol. 6 dec Sports

Fed Decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No

25 bps decrease 1% Yes No

$200.3MVol. 16 sept fomc

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40% Yes No

$150.5MVol. 4 oct Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 33% Yes No

Jordan Bardella 2% Yes No

$134.6MVol. 30 apr French Election

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

April 30 1% Yes No

June 30 1% Yes No

4 more

$68.0MVol. 1 jan Aliens

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000 1% Yes No

↓ 60,000 90% Yes No

45 more

$66.6MVol. 1 jan Bitcoin

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Chance

Yes14¢ No41¢

$66.4MVol. 1 jan Military Strikes

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Arizona Cardinals 1% Yes No

Atlanta Falcons 1% Yes No

31 more

$55.9MVol. 15 feb Sports

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 85% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 5% Yes No

11 more

$52.6MVol. 31 dec Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Chance

Yes3¢ No41¢

$41.6MVol. 31 dec Politics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 27% Yes No

Naftali Bennett 9% Yes No

26 more

$37.6MVol. 31 dec Main Election

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Kylian Mbappé 11% Yes No

Erling Haaland 1% Yes No

87 more

$36.0MVol. 31 oct Soccer

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 11% Yes No

Aston Villa 1% Yes No

40 more

$34.3MVol. 31 may UCL

Israel closes its airspace by...?

May 8 1% Yes No

May 31 1% Yes No

17 more

$30.7MVol. 1 oct Politics

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18 90% Yes No

July 20 90% Yes No

22 more

$30.3MVol. 31 dec Iran

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 67% Yes No

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1% Yes No

32 more

$30.1MVol. 20 sept Politics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

July 24 1% Yes No

July 31 1% Yes No

18 more

$28.7MVol. 1 jan Iran

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 3% Yes No

Pope Leo XIV 1% Yes No

69 more

$24.1MVol. 10 oct Awards

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

June 30 1% Yes No

January 31 1% Yes No

5 more

$22.0MVol. 1 jan shah

NBA: 2027 Champion

Atlanta Hawks 1% Yes No

Boston Celtics 4% Yes No

34 more

$21.8MVol. 1 jul NBA Finals

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Chance

Yes6¢ No41¢

$21.3MVol. 1 jan Crypto

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↑ 3,000 40% Yes No

↑ 2,750 60% Yes No

28 more

$14.4MVol. 1 jan Ethereum

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

May 31 1% Yes No

June 30 1% Yes No

10 more

$14.0MVol. 1 jan Politics

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Chance

Yes4¢ No41¢

$13.3MVol. 1 jan HFC

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 53% Yes No

D Senate, R House 1% Yes No

$12.2MVol. 3 nov United States

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 80% Yes No

Republican Party 12% Yes No

7 more

$11.3MVol. 3 nov Parent For Derivative

Fed rate hike in 2026?

77%

Chance

Yes77¢ No41¢

$9.9MVol. 9 dec CPI Release

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢

$8.7MVol. 30 sept Oil

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Ulf Kristersson 6% Yes No

Magdalena Andersson 83% Yes No

34 more

$8.0MVol. 13 sept Elections

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

0 1% Yes No

1 1% Yes No

$7.5MVol. 1 jan Israel

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 21% Yes No

$7.3MVol. 4 oct Brazil

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

↑ 100,000 1% Yes No

↑ 97,500 2% Yes No

29 more

$6.8MVol. 1 oct Bitcoin

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Alavés 1% Yes No

Athletic Bilbao 1% Yes No

22 more

$6.3MVol. 31 may Soccer

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↑ $150 1% Yes No

↑ $140 2% Yes No

$5.2MVol. 1 oct Finance

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 4 90% Yes No

September 11 90% Yes No

$4.1MVol. 1 oct Iran

Berlin State Election Winner

CDU 24% Yes No

AfD 6% Yes No

22 more

$3.9MVol. 20 sept World Elections

Fed rate hike by...?

April Meeting 1% Yes No

June Meeting 1% Yes No

$3.8MVol. 29 oct Fed

Anthropic IPO by __?

June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

July 31, 2026 1% Yes No

8 more

$3.2MVol. 1 jul Finance

What price will Ethereum hit in September?

↑ 4,000 1% Yes No

↑ 3,300 2% Yes No

33 more

$3.2MVol. 1 oct Ethereum

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No

25 bps decrease 2% Yes No

$3.0MVol. 29 oct Fed

US recession by end of 2026?

11%

Chance

Yes11¢ No41¢

$2.0MVol. 31 dec Business

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No

September 30, 2026 5% Yes No

$1.5MVol. 1 jan Politics

Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

<20 1% Yes No

20-39 1% Yes No

24 more

$1.4MVol. 18 sept Culture

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No

25 bps decrease 3% Yes No

$886.5KVol. 10 dec Fed

FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club

FC Barcelona 83% Yes No

Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club) 5% Yes No

$871.3KVol. 16 sept Sports

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢

$841.7KVol. 21 sept Russia

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

<280 3% Yes No

280–294 2% Yes No

5 more

$775.8KVol. 20 sept Russia Election

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna

Club Atlético de Madrid 67% Yes No

Draw (Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna) 16% Yes No

$603.7KVol. 16 sept Sports

Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Carolina M. Alves

Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Carolina M. Alves 89% Yes No

Completed Match 45% Yes No

$598.3KVol. 21 sept Tennis

Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?

<40 1% Yes No

40-64 90% Yes No

8 more

$547.7KVol. 16 sept Culture

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Ursula von der Leyen 31% Yes No

Mark Rutte 32% Yes No

13 more

$538.2KVol. 1 jan Ukraine

What price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?

↑ 92,000 1% Yes No

↑ 90,000 1% Yes No

$521.5KVol. 21 sept Crypto

Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva

Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva 36% Yes No

Completed Match 45% Yes No

$397.4KVol. 21 sept Tennis

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1510 90% Yes No

1520 90% Yes No

$379.5KVol. 1 oct Tech

Bitcoin above ___ on September 17?

68,000 90% Yes No

70,000 90% Yes No

$374.9KVol. 17 sept Bitcoin

Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmi

Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmi 58% Yes No

Completed Match 45% Yes No

$361.4KVol. 23 sept Tennis

Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?

<20 1% Yes No

20-39 1% Yes No

24 more

$344.0KVol. 22 sept Culture

Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?

<16% 1% Yes No

16-18% 1% Yes No

2 more

$291.9KVol. 13 sept Sweden

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

September 15 1% Yes No

September 30 61% Yes No

$285.4KVol. 1 oct Oil

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 37% Yes No

NRFI 40% Yes No

$279.5KVol. 23 sept Sports

FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club - More Markets

FC Barcelona (-1.5) 73% Yes No

Real Racing Club (-1.5) 1% Yes No

40 more

$266.0KVol. 16 sept Sports

LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs

Game 1 Winner 1% Yes No

Game 2 Winner 1% Yes No

35 more

$262.8KVol. 16 sept Esports

Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce

Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce 68% Yes No

Completed Match 46% Yes No

$262.0KVol. 21 sept Tennis

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Game 1 Winner 1% Yes No

Game 2 Winner 90% Yes No

19 more

$257.4KVol. 16 sept Esports

Ethereum above ___ on September 17?

1,900 90% Yes No

2,000 90% Yes No

$244.3KVol. 17 sept Ethereum

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 84% Yes No

Draw (Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje) 5% Yes No

$224.0KVol. 16 sept Sports

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna - More Markets

Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) 46% Yes No

CA Osasuna (-1.5) 2% Yes No

39 more

$220.4KVol. 16 sept Sports

Portland State vs. Oregon

Portland State vs. Oregon 1% Yes No

2H Moneyline 46% Yes No

$211.7KVol. 19 sept Sports

What price will Ethereum hit September 14-20?

↑ 3,200 1% Yes No

↑ 3,100 1% Yes No

16 more

$192.1KVol. 21 sept Ethereum

Bitcoin above ___ on September 18?

68,000 90% Yes No

70,000 90% Yes No

$175.1KVol. 18 sept Bitcoin

AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica

AC Milan 39% Yes No

Draw (AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica) 24% Yes No

$152.4KVol. 16 sept Sports

Lions vs. Bills

Lions vs. Bills 30% Yes No

Spread -1.5 60% Yes No

313 more

$146.7KVol. 18 sept Sports

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins 54% Yes No

NRFI 44% Yes No

$145.0KVol. 23 sept Sports

Szczecin: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro

Szczecin: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro 45% Yes No

Completed Match 45% Yes No

$132.9KVol. 23 sept Tennis

Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Map 1 Winner 1% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 1% Yes No

16 more

$130.8KVol. 16 sept Esports

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?

25°C or below 1% Yes No

26°C 1% Yes No

$130.1KVol. 16 sept Weather

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Map 1 Winner 90% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 81% Yes No

11 more

$129.2KVol. 16 sept Esports

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

Game 1 Winner 42% Yes No

Game 2 Winner 41% Yes No

49 more

$123.6KVol. 17 sept Esports

Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Manchester United FC 54% Yes No

Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 19% Yes No

$122.7KVol. 16 sept Sports

Sao Paulo Open: Cadence Brace vs Solana Sierra

Sao Paulo Open: Cadence Brace vs Solana Sierra 31% Yes No

Completed Match 45% Yes No

$118.4KVol. 21 sept Tennis

FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club - Exact Score

FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Racing Club 1% Yes No

FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Real Racing Club 1% Yes No

$117.1KVol. 16 sept Sports

Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille

Beşiktaş JK 49% Yes No

Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille) 21% Yes No

$114.7KVol. 17 sept Sports

What price will Bitcoin hit on September 16?

↑ 83,000 1% Yes No

↑ 82,000 1% Yes No

$113.4KVol. 17 sept Crypto

AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica - More Markets

AC Milan (-1.5) 20% Yes No

Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) 12% Yes No

31 more

$112.8KVol. 16 sept Sports

Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

<20 1% Yes No

20-39 1% Yes No

24 more

$101.8KVol. 25 sept Culture

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals 59% Yes No

NRFI 45% Yes No

16 more

$100.0KVol. 24 sept Sports

What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Inflation 40+ times 20% Yes No

Inflation 20+ times 75% Yes No

20 more

$91.0KVol. 17 sept Fed

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 49% Yes No

NRFI 40% Yes No

$89.1KVol. 24 sept Sports

Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?

18°C or below 1% Yes No

19°C 1% Yes No

$80.9KVol. 16 sept Weather

LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - LFL Promotion Playoffs

Game 1 Winner 17% Yes No

Game 2 Winner 19% Yes No

37 more

$80.6KVol. 17 sept Esports

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC - More Markets

RC Deportivo A Coruña (-1.5) 13% Yes No

Sevilla FC (-1.5) 11% Yes No

39 more

$80.6KVol. 16 sept Sports

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds 60% Yes No

NRFI 43% Yes No

$75.4KVol. 24 sept Sports

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays 40% Yes No

NRFI 46% Yes No

$71.3KVol. 23 sept Sports

Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Carol Young Suh Lee 88% Yes No

Completed Match 45% Yes No