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Chance
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
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Outcomes
17May 31, 2026 Resolved
1%
▼ 1
September 30, 2026
90%
▲ 36
August 31 Resolved
1%
December 31 Resolved
1%
October 31 Resolved
1%
July 31, 2026 Resolved
1%
▼ 4
September 30 Resolved
1%
August 31, 2026
89%
▲ 73
July 19, 2026 Resolved
1%
▼ 1
August 15, 2026 Resolved
1%
▼ 1
November 30 Resolved
1%
March 31, 2026 Resolved
1%
▲ 3
December 31, 2026
90%
▲ 13
January 31, 2026 Resolved
1%
February 28, 2026 Resolved
1%
June 30, 2026 Resolved
1%
▼ 5
April 30, 2026 Resolved
1%
▼ 1
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This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
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