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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

12%

25 bps increase

88%

50+ bps increase

<1%

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

25 bps decrease<1%

No change12%

25 bps increase88%

50+ bps increase<1%

$199M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$198.6MVol. 16 sept fomc

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Chance

Yes6¢ No41¢
$21.3MVol. 1 jan Crypto

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 66% Yes No
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1% Yes No
32 more
$30.0MVol. 20 sept Politics

Bitcoin above ___ on September 16?

68,000 90% Yes No
70,000 90% Yes No
9 more
$1.6MVol. 16 sept Bitcoin

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump 2% Yes No
J.D. Vance 47% Yes No
126 more
$705.3MVol. 7 nov United States

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 4 90% Yes No
September 11 90% Yes No
3 more
$4.1MVol. 1 oct Iran

FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club

FC Barcelona 83% Yes No
Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club) 5% Yes No
1 more
$844.5KVol. 16 sept Sports

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 15% Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% Yes No
126 more
$1279.2MVol. 7 nov United States

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 33% Yes No
Jordan Bardella 1% Yes No
126 more
$134.6MVol. 30 apr French Election

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$2.9MVol. 29 oct Fed

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 11% Yes No
Aston Villa 1% Yes No
40 more
$34.3MVol. 31 may UCL

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000 1% Yes No
↓ 60,000 90% Yes No
45 more
$66.5MVol. 1 jan Bitcoin

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

↑ 100,000 1% Yes No
↑ 97,500 2% Yes No
28 more
$6.8MVol. 1 oct Bitcoin

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↑ $150 1% Yes No
↑ $140 2% Yes No
30 more
$5.2MVol. 1 oct Finance

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Arizona Cardinals 1% Yes No
Atlanta Falcons 1% Yes No
31 more
$55.9MVol. 15 feb Sports

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40% Yes No
30 more
$150.5MVol. 4 oct Politics

Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

<20 1% Yes No
20-39 1% Yes No
24 more
$1.3MVol. 18 sept Culture

What price will Ethereum hit in September?

↑ 4,000 1% Yes No
↑ 3,300 2% Yes No
33 more
$3.2MVol. 1 oct Ethereum

Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva

Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva 36% Yes No
Completed Match 45% Yes No
14 more
$396.0KVol. 21 sept Tennis

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

April 30 1% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
4 more
$67.9MVol. 1 jan Aliens