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Fed Decision in October?

Fed·fomc·Trump

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

53%

25 bps increase

48%

50+ bps increase

<1%

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

25 bps decrease<1%

No change53%

25 bps increase48%

50+ bps increase<1%

$6.0M Vol

Ends Oct 29, 2026

Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 54% Yes No
D Senate, R House 1% Yes No
3 more
$12.4MVol. 3 nov United States

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 81% Yes No
Republican Party 10% Yes No
7 more
$11.4MVol. 3 nov Parent For Derivative

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party 54% Yes No
Republican Party 37% Yes No
7 more
$4.6MVol. 3 nov Senate

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D) 52% Yes No
Ken Paxton (R) 39% Yes No
11 more
$1.3MVol. 3 nov Texas Senate

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D) 60% Yes No
Mike Rogers (R) 30% Yes No
11 more
$833.8KVol. 3 nov Michigan Midterm

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D) 64% Yes No
Susan Collins (R) 27% Yes No
11 more
$1.4MVol. 3 nov Maine Midterm

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Josh Turek (D) 36% Yes No
Ashley Hinson (R) 55% Yes No
11 more
$358.5KVol. 3 nov Iowa Midterm

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D) 50% Yes No
Jon Husted (R) 42% Yes No
11 more
$379.8KVol. 3 nov Ohio Midterm

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Annie Andrews (D) 13% Yes No
Darline Graham Nordone (R) 78% Yes No
11 more
$219.7KVol. 3 nov South Carolina Midterm

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Sen. Dan Sullivan 30% Yes No
Ann Diener 1% Yes No
27 more
$521.5KVol. 3 nov Alaska Midterm

MA-02 House Election Winner

Republican Party 4% Yes No
Jim McGovern (D) 86% Yes No
6 more
$72.7KVol. 3 nov Politics

Florida Governor Election Winner

David Jolly (D) 18% Yes No
Byron Donalds (R) 73% Yes No
11 more
$72.3KVol. 3 nov Florida Midterm

OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35%+ 2% Yes No
Democrat 30-35% 4% Yes No
10 more
$8.8KVol. 3 nov Midterms

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D) 83% Yes No
Michele Tafoya (R) 7% Yes No
11 more
$76.3KVol. 3 nov Minnesota Midterm

CO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45%+ 1% Yes No
Democrat 40-45% 6% Yes No
11 more
$8.5KVol. 3 nov Midterms

KY-05 House Election Winner

Hal Rogers (R) 87% Yes No
Ned Pillersdorf (D) 4% Yes No
6 more
$41.3KVol. 3 nov Politics

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui 50% Yes No
Mai Vang 39% Yes No
4 more
$17.9KVol. 4 nov Midterms

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 51% Yes No
Rick Jackson (R) 40% Yes No
11 more
$84.2KVol. 3 nov Georgia Midterm

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

<600K 1% Yes No
600K-650K 2% Yes No
6 more
$6.8KVol. 3 nov turnout

Texas Governor Election Winner

Gina Hinojosa (D) 19% Yes No
Greg Abbott (R) 72% Yes No
11 more
$104.8KVol. 3 nov Texas Midterm