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Fed Decision in October?

Fed·fomc·Trump

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

53%

25 bps increase

48%

50+ bps increase

<1%

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

25 bps decrease<1%

No change53%

25 bps increase48%

50+ bps increase<1%

$6.0M Vol

Ends Oct 29, 2026

Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40% Yes No
30 more
$150.9MVol. 4 oct Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 21% Yes No
30 more
$7.4MVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 1% Yes No
30 more
$1.2MVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

<30% 1% Yes No
30-33% 1% Yes No
3 more
$39.7KVol. 5 oct World

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Romeu Zema 1% Yes No
Ronaldo Caiado 1% Yes No
7 more
$626.3KVol. 4 oct Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Lula 70% Yes No
Flavio Bolsonaro 21% Yes No
38 more
$106.2KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

<2% 18% Yes No
2-4% 26% Yes No
3 more
$5.1KVol. 5 oct World

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

5%

Chance

Yes5¢ No41¢
$264.5KVol. 4 oct Politics

Piauí Governor Election Winner

Dra. Lúcia Santos 1% Yes No
Elizeu Aguiar 1% Yes No
24 more
$57.0KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Sergio Moro 76% Yes No
Requião Filho 1% Yes No
16 more
$173.5KVol. 5 oct Brazil

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

Under 5% 10% Yes No
5% to 19.99% 26% Yes No
3 more
$4.7KVol. 1 may Brazil

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

50+ bps increase 1% Yes No
25 bps increase 1% Yes No
3 more
$18.0KVol. 4 nov Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Clariana Barao 1% Yes No
Edmilson Costa 1% Yes No
38 more
$29.9KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

<35% 4% Yes No
35-38% 3% Yes No
3 more
$4.1KVol. 5 oct World

São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

André do Prado 1% Yes No
Dra. Eliana Ferreira 1% Yes No
39 more
$48.3KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5% 44% Yes No
Lula da Silva 5-10% 16% Yes No
9 more
$485.9KVol. 4 oct World

Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place

Alexandre Curi 24% Yes No
Cristina Reis Graeml 1% Yes No
34 more
$49.4KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

<1% 11% Yes No
1-2% 18% Yes No
3 more
$2.1KVol. 5 oct World

Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place

Dr. Junior Feitosa 1% Yes No
Eduardo Velloso 1% Yes No
33 more
$43.7KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

<3.00% 1% Yes No
3.00-3.49% 1% Yes No
8 more
$113.7KVol. 12 jan Brazil