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Fed Decision in October?

Fed·fomc·Trump

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

53%

25 bps increase

48%

50+ bps increase

<1%

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

WhaleWatch-31101

SheltonDoubter currently holds $21,953.03 on 25 bps increase with outcome Yes. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know?

ItsRigg3d

From 2020 to 2022 inflation saw a government spending based spike from 1% to 9% and they waited for Biden to leave to push rates above 4%, now they want to be hawkish at 3.4% inflation. The Federal Reserve is just a political body at this p

vapordip

the first hike just went official and october's already a coin flip, glad I got my polybro running on this one lol

cay91187

no change i think

convictiontrap

gg

alwaystrade

Hi

AlexxHamilton

gg

Neogenesis

they will hike in October as well

25 bps decrease<1%

No change53%

25 bps increase48%

50+ bps increase<1%

$6.0M Vol

Ends Oct 29, 2026

Macro indicators

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$6.0MVol. 29 oct Fed

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 2% Yes No
3 more
$993.2KVol. 10 dec Fed

Bank of England decision in November?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$95.7KVol. 6 nov BOE

September Inflation US - Annual

≤2.9% 1% Yes No
3.0% 1% Yes No
10 more
$24.1KVol. 15 oct CPI

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$150.5KVol. 29 oct ECB

Bank of Russia decision in October?

Decrease 34% Yes No
No Change 50% Yes No
1 more
$30.3KVol. 24 oct macro

Fed Decision in January?

50+ bps decrease 4% Yes No
25 bps decrease 9% Yes No
3 more
$83.7KVol. 28 jan Fed

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0% 1% Yes No
1.0–1.4% 3% Yes No
7 more
$106.4KVol. 20 jan Recurring

September Inflation US - Monthly

≤0.0% 1% Yes No
0.1% 1% Yes No
7 more
$18.3KVol. 15 oct CPI

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0% 3% Yes No
↑ 5.5% 2% Yes No
19 more
$1.8MVol. 31 dec Jerome Powell

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 2% Yes No
3 more
$19.0KVol. 6 nov Mexico

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

50+ bps increase 1% Yes No
25 bps increase 1% Yes No
3 more
$18.0KVol. 4 nov Brazil

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

<50.0 1% Yes No
50.0 to 50.9 1% Yes No
8 more
$12.8KVol. 1 oct ISM

Core PCE YoY - August 2026

≤3.0% 1% Yes No
3.1% 5% Yes No
5 more
$22.7KVol. 30 sept PCE

September Inflation China - Annual

≤0.4% 6% Yes No
0.5% to 0.6% 4% Yes No
3 more
$12.9KVol. 15 oct CPI

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

≤-0.1% 1% Yes No
0.0% 1% Yes No
5 more
$14.3KVol. 30 sept PCE

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

50+ bps decrease 2% Yes No
25 bps decrease 2% Yes No
3 more
$13.1KVol. 17 dec ECB

September Inflation UK - Annual

≤2.7% 32% Yes No
2.8-3% 33% Yes No
4 more
$1.0KVol. 21 oct UK

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0% 8% Yes No
5.5% 7% Yes No
3 more
$512.1KVol. 1 feb Macro indicators

Argentina Monthly Inflation - September

≤0.9% 1% Yes No
1.0 to 1.2% 4% Yes No
6 more
$6.2KVol. 13 oct CPI